Presidential prediction markets: Here's when Kalshi and Polymarket will pay out
The popularity of prediction markets (for gambling on politics) is a new phenomenon in the United States, and who pays out when is not at all consistent. Why it matters: Prediction markets are suddenly at the center of political chatter,
‘Prediction markets’ set to pay out $450M to election bettors
Following Donald Trump’s election victory, thousands of bettors anticipate a potential $450 million payout from online betting sites, says Reuters. As
Besides Trump, prediction markets might have been US election’s biggest winner
US voters Tuesday (5 November) decisively sent Donald Trump back to the White House for a second presidential term after four years away. But perhaps the next biggest winners from the election were prediction markets, the derivatives exchanges that allowed the country to stake legal wagers on the election for the first time.
What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck polls or political models, like the one published by The Economist. On Polymarket Mr Trump’s chances of victory never dipped far below 50%,
Crypto prediction markets see Trump leading ahead of Harris on election eve
Crypto-fueled prediction markets show Trump leading Harris in 2024 US election betting. Polymarket and Kalshi draw billions in wagers despite skepticism.
Polymarket, Prediction Betting Markets Vindicated by Trump's Strong Showing
Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan and the market niche he took mainstream in 2024 can take a victory lap.Along with Donald Trump, the Republican
Election Betting Odds: Trump Hits 99% On Polymarket, Kalshi As More Election Results Come In
Most betting sites strongly favored a Trump win as of early Wednesday morning, though most swing states had not been called.
Polymarket Realizes It Needs a New Kind of Bet to Factor in Trump’s Shenanigans
There’s always something new to gamble on. As the election ends, bets on our anxiety around inauguration are ramping up.
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour on Prediction Markets’ Big Night: ‘We Even Overtook Pornhub’
Last evening, when most traditional polls showed the 2024 US presidential election as a toss-up between Vice President Kamala ...
The 2024 Election’s Other Big Loser: Prediction Markets
Prediction markets, exchange-traded markets where participants can bet on the outcomes of future events, failed to provide ...
Political Betting Markets See Vindication in Trump Victory
Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win ...
Kalshi election betting odds: Do bettors pick Trump or Harris? What we know on Election Day
Election betting is now legal in the U.S. Do Kalshi betting odds predict a Harris or a Trump win? What to know as Ohioans ...
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Where prediction markets stand hours before first returns
Senate Republicans look poised to recapture control of the Senate for the first time since 2021, according to the ...
Kalshi And Polymarket Shoot To The Top Of Apple's App Store Rankings Amid Election Euphoria
On the day of the U.S. presidential election, prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket reached unprecedented rankings on the Apple App Store.
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Prediction Market Kalshi to Supply Price Data for Crypto Oracle Stork
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Stocks Soar, Dollar Jumps as Trump’s Win Reverberates Through Markets