Prediction markets, which surged to prominence during the presidential campaign, started reflecting a likely Trump win ...
The election betting odds were right — yet again. The betting market successfully predicted the 2024 presidential race, ...
On Tuesday, a suite of gambling platforms predicted a Trump landslide. Polymarket, a crypto exchange and (by its own account) ...
Just how big was betting on the 2024 presidential election? We now have the answer. According to data from two sites that ...
The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-betting markets. The three that get the most ...
Polymarket, the world’s largest prediction market, has the Republican candidate with a 38 point lead against his Democratic ...
Former President Donald Trump's probability of winning in Tuesday's U.S. presidential election surged on betting markets as ...
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday’s election, but this is based on the ...
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck polls or political models, like the one published by The Economist. On ...
Another disadvantage of polls is that some Americans are just unresponsive to pollsters. ABC’s FiveThirtyEight pollsters said ...