Betting markets breaking for Trump
What betting markets got right and wrong about Trump’s victory
In general, markets gave shorter odds to Donald Trump, who won comfortably, than would have been implied by the neck-and-neck polls or political models, like the one published by The Economist. On Polymarket Mr Trump’s chances of victory never dipped far below 50%,
Proponents of the predictive prowess of betting markets were vindicated once again when Trump defeated Harris to return to ...
Betting markets tonight have been viewing a Trump win as increasingly likely, though the Associated Press has not yet ...
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools ...
The easiest place to get a read on the thinking of punters is in election-betting markets. The three that get the most ...
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday’s election, but this is based on the ...
After a U.S. appeals court ruled in October that wagering is allowed on political races, including the presidential election, ...
Donald Trump's once large margin of victory in presidential race betting markets has taken a hit days out from the election.
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...
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